Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.38) 
0.22) 
