SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Cuiaba |
47.32% ( -0.38) | 27.51% ( 0.22) | 25.16% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.85% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% ( -0.65) | 59.86% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( -0.5) | 80.13% ( 0.49) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0.48) | 25.38% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.66) | 60.19% ( 0.65) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.22) | 39.89% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.45% ( -0.21) | 76.55% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.16% |
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