Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.04) 
