Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Bragantino
42.8% ( -0.62)	26.56% ( -0.08)	30.63% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 50.98% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.3% (

0.59)

53.69% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

0.49)

75.18% (

-0.49)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

-0.05)

24.86% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

-0.07)

59.46% (

0.07)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

0.81)

32.15% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

0.91)

68.63% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 42.8%

Bragantino 30.63%

Draw 26.56%

Botafogo	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.8%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.63%