SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Blooming had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.23%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Blooming win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Blooming |
70.43% ( -3.1) | 18.83% ( 1.07) | 10.73% ( 2.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.78% ( 4.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( 1.34) | 47.94% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( 1.22) | 70.11% ( -1.22) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( -0.48) | 12.38% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.75% ( -1.02) | 38.25% ( 1.02) |
| Blooming Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.82% ( 5.1) | 51.18% ( -5.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.54% ( 3.17) | 85.46% ( -3.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Blooming |
| 2-0 @ 13.82% ( -1.35) 1-0 @ 13.23% ( -1.02)3-0 @ 9.63% ( -1.13)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.7)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.38)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.34)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.85% Total : 70.42% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.67) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.59)Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.83% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.61)0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.73% |
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