SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
45.11% ( -0.01) | 28.14% | 26.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.94% ( 0) | 61.06% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% | 81.04% ( 0) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0) | 27.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.01) | 62.4% ( 0.01) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.01) | 39.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.12% ( 0.01) | 75.88% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.75% |
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