SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Rosario Central |
51.11% ( 0.7) | 28.15% ( -0.02) | 20.73% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 39.05% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.47) | 64.98% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.12% ( -0.33) | 83.87% ( 0.33) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.12) | 25.9% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( 0.16) | 60.89% ( -0.16) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.7% ( -1.03) | 47.3% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.29% ( -0.78) | 82.71% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.54% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.73% |
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