SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | San Lorenzo |
39.26% ( -0.59) | 32.28% ( 0.19) | 28.45% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 35.62% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.37) | 72.17% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.41% ( -0.23) | 88.59% ( 0.23) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.59) | 36.18% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( -0.6) | 72.97% ( 0.6) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.81% ( 0.11) | 44.18% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.72% ( 0.09) | 80.27% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 16.25% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.26% | 0-0 @ 15.98% ( 0.22) 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 32.27% | 0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.44% |
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