SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | River Plate |
21.7% ( -0.58) | 27.07% ( 0.06) | 51.23% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( -0.67) | 60.93% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( -0.5) | 80.94% ( 0.51) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.13% ( -0.98) | 43.87% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.99% ( -0.82) | 80.02% ( 0.83) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.06) | 24.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( -0.08) | 58.29% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.7% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 15.03% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 10.71% ( 0.23)1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 51.22% |
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