SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Santos |
42.29% ( 0.96) | 29.81% ( -0.1) | 27.9% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 40.88% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.23% ( 0.02) | 65.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.57% ( 0.02) | 84.42% ( -0.02) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.57) | 30.88% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( 0.66) | 67.17% ( -0.67) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.7) | 40.85% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.57% ( -0.64) | 77.42% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.81% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
