Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
0.96) 
-0.1) 
