SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
34.6% ( 0.19) | 28.75% ( 0.03) | 36.65% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% ( -0.09) | 61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% ( -0.07) | 80.99% ( 0.07) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.08) | 33.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.21% ( 0.09) | 69.79% ( -0.09) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( -0.18) | 31.84% ( 0.18) |
