Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.22) 
