Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Santos
56.48% ( 0.07)	25.08% ( -0.07)	18.44% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.32% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39% (

0.23)

57.61% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

0.18)

78.38% (

-0.19)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

0.12)

20.4% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17% (

0.19)

52.83% (

-0.19)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.43% (

0.14)

45.57% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.62% (

0.11)

81.38% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Gremio 56.47%

Santos 18.44%

Draw 25.08%

Gremio	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.47%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 18.44%