Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 44.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
