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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
3 - 1
Palestino

Castro (6'), Sordo (71'), Belluschi (86')
Negri (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sanchez (47')
Soto (38'), Cortes (44'), Villanueva (74'), Davila (75'), Barticciotto (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Newell's Old Boys and Palestino.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 44.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawPalestino
44.95%28.86%26.19%
Both teams to score 42.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38%63.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08%82.92%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65%28.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.08%
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35%77.65%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 44.95%
    Palestino 26.18%
    Draw 28.85%
Newell's Old BoysDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 14.68%
2-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 8.23%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 26.18%

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