Atletico Nacional
4 - 1
Libertad

Barrera (16'), Perlaza (51'), Alvez (58'), Duque (74')
Andrade (28'), Quintana (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cesar Enciso (2')
Barboza (84'), Bocanegra (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico Nacional	Draw	Club Libertad
44.93%	24.49%	30.58%

Both teams to score 57.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.08%

44.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72%

67.27%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89%

20.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.63%

52.36%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25%

27.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68%

63.31%

Score Analysis

Atletico Nacional 44.93%

Club Libertad 30.58%

Draw 24.48%

Atletico Nacional	Draw	Club Libertad
2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.93%	1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 7.36% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.58%