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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Sportivo Trinidense
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Andrada (45')
Andrada (45+1'), Quinonez (73'), Roman (89'), de la Cruz (90'), Jara (90+5')
Arrua (33'), Andrada (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Figal (70'), Cavani (90+2')
Advincula (31'), Romero (32')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawBoca Juniors
15.58% (-0.355 -0.36) 24.14% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 60.28% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 40.74% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.232 -0.23)58.19% (0.233 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.183 -0.18)78.84% (0.185 0.19)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39% (-0.632 -0.63)49.61% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (-0.445 -0.45)84.38% (0.447 0.45)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (0.077999999999989 0.08)19.16% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.18% (0.127 0.13)50.81% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Trinidense 15.58%
    Boca Juniors 60.27%
    Draw 24.13%
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 0.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 15.58%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 15.7% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 12.97% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.115 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.95% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 60.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, February 29 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 1 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Boca Juniors
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, April 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division


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