SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
60.49% ( -1.03) | 23.29% ( 0.44) | 16.21% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.71) | 54.28% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( -0.59) | 75.67% ( 0.59) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( -0.62) | 17.62% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% ( -1.08) | 48.21% ( 1.08) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.6% ( 0.37) | 46.4% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% ( 0.28) | 82.03% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 60.49% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 16.21% |
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