Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.03) 
