Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Tacuary win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
