Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Avai had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
