Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Fluminense
41.79% ( -0.29)	25.43% ( -0.17)	32.77% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

0.88)

48.27% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.58% (

0.8)

70.42% (

-0.81)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

0.24)

22.97% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

0.35)

56.75% (

-0.35)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

0.73)

27.98% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

0.92)

63.62% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 41.79%

Fluminense 32.77%

Draw 25.43%

Bragantino	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.79%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.77%