Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Bellavista de Ambato
Maciel (59'), Carcelen (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Tecnico Universitario and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tecnico Universitario win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tecnico Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Tecnico Universitario | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
38.48% ( -0.12) | 27.35% ( 0.17) | 34.17% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.56) |
| 44.12% ( -0.69) | 55.88% ( 0.69) |
| 23.01% ( -0.57) | 76.99% ( 0.56) |
| Tecnico Universitario Goals |
| 71.79% ( -0.4) | 28.2% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.1% ( -0.51) | 63.9% ( 0.51) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| 69.15% ( -0.39) | 30.85% ( 0.38) |
