Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
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