Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.04) 
