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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 9, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Maria Minella

Aldosivi
0 - 3
Boca Juniors


Insua (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Almendra (16'), Cardona (70'), Villa (90+1')
Fabra (56')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Aldosivi and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
AldosiviDrawBoca Juniors
26.96%27.26%45.78%
Both teams to score 46.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36%78.64%
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75%37.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97%74.03%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72%25.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.03%
Score Analysis
    Aldosivi 26.96%
    Boca Juniors 45.77%
    Draw 27.25%
AldosiviDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 6.31%
2-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 12.94%
0-2 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-3 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.4%
1-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.77%

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