Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
