Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.