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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 17, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Maria Minella
I

Aldosivi
1 - 0
Independiente

Cauteruccio (3')
Gil Romero (40'), Miers (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Velasco (19'), Costa (58'), Sosa (72'), Barreto (84')
Barreto (87')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Aldosivi and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
AldosiviDrawIndependiente
24.33%25.75%49.92%
Both teams to score 48.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83%54.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42%75.58%
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.24%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27%21.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1%54.89%
Score Analysis
    Aldosivi 24.33%
    Independiente 49.92%
    Draw 25.75%
AldosiviDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-1 @ 5.99%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.33%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.49%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-3 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 49.92%

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