Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.