Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.