Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.