Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
