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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
Atletico Nacional

Herrera (90+1')
Torren (34'), Carabajal (83'), Sosa (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrade (43'), Alvez (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawAtletico Nacional
46.5%25.57%27.93%
Both teams to score 52.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04%50.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17%72.83%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83%55.17%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27%32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.29%
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 46.5%
    Atletico Nacional 27.93%
    Draw 25.57%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.5%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.93%

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