Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
