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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 13, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio B.G. Estanislao Lopez

Colon
1 - 0
Gimnasia

Meza (78')
Farias (47')
Pierotti (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morales (12'), Insaurralde (30'), Messera (42')
Insaurralde (40'), Leyes (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Colon and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.

Result
ColonDrawGimnasia
43.46%28.09%28.45%
Both teams to score 45.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.86%60.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.65%80.34%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.97%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76%37.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98%74.02%
Score Analysis
    Colon 43.45%
    Gimnasia 28.44%
    Draw 28.09%
ColonDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 8.54%
2-1 @ 8.43%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.19%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 43.45%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 28.44%

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