Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.