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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 8, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
AT

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Tucuman

Aleman (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Daniel Valor (57'), Lagos (90+3')
Daniel Valor (75')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawAtletico Tucuman
37.48%26.8%35.71%
Both teams to score 51.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43%53.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92%75.08%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32%27.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77%63.23%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27%28.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44%64.56%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 37.48%
    Atletico Tucuman 35.72%
    Draw 26.8%
GimnasiaDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.48%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.72%

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