Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
