Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
