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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 31, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
3 - 1
Rosario

Luna Diale (1'), Machuca (25'), Manuel Garcia (90+3')
Britez (40'), Roldan (40'), Vera (52'), Luna Diale (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ruben (31')
Covea (21'), Infantino (42'), Garay (45+2'), Luques (63'), Martinez (73'), Ferreyra (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawRosario Central
35.84%28.5%35.67%
Both teams to score 46.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.72%80.28%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12%31.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01%31.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55%68.45%
Score Analysis
    Union 35.83%
    Rosario Central 35.66%
    Draw 28.49%
UnionDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.83%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.62%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.66%

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