Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
