Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
