Independiente
0 - 1
Tucuman

Barreto (55'), Romero (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Heredia (44')
Toledo (5'), Bustos (64'), Albornoz (72'), Acosta (85')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
56.97%	23.32%	19.71%

Both teams to score 50.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.55%

49.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.51%

71.48%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87%

17.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.64%

47.36%

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.64%

39.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94%

76.06%

Score Analysis

Independiente 56.96%

Atletico Tucuman 19.71%

Draw 23.32%

Independiente	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 11.89% 2-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.96%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.71%