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I
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 28, 2021 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
P

Independiente
2 - 0
Patronato

Roa (54'), Romero (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nahuel Banega (45+1'), Nievas (73'), Kruspzky (75'), Benitez (79')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawPatronato
45.76%27.85%26.39%
Both teams to score 44.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.7%60.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.53%80.46%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49%61.5%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23%75.76%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.75%
    Patronato 26.39%
    Draw 27.85%
IndependienteDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 13.72%
2-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.39%

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