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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 9, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 0
Racing

Romero (69')
Roa (40'), Ortega (73'), Sosa (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miranda (59'), Moreno (71'), Dominguez (90+6'), Martinez (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Racing Club.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.71%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawRacing Club
42.71%29.22%28.07%
Both teams to score 42.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.06%63.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85%83.14%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27%29.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21%65.78%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33%39.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66%76.34%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 42.7%
    Racing Club 28.07%
    Draw 29.21%
IndependienteDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 8.02%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 28.07%

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