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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
SL

Rosario
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Ezequiel Almada (11'), Gamba (81')
Martinez (48'), Sangiovani (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (42')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawSan Lorenzo
43.4%26.47%30.13%
Both teams to score 51.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.5%53.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99%75.02%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09%58.91%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59%32.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.4%
    San Lorenzo 30.13%
    Draw 26.46%
Rosario CentralDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.13%

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