Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
