Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
