River Plate
3 - 1
San Lorenzo

Alvarez (31', 65', 85')
Pena Biafore (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernandez (22')
Rosane (13'), Peruzzi (36'), Palacios (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 12.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	San Lorenzo
66.84%	20.78%	12.37%

Both teams to score 42.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17%

51.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41%

73.59%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35%

14.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.2%

42.79%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.34%

50.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.89%

85.11%

Score Analysis

River Plate 66.84%

San Lorenzo 12.37%

Draw 20.78%

River Plate	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.25% 2-0 @ 13.69% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.03% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.08% Total : 66.84%	1-1 @ 9.7% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.78%	0-1 @ 5.05% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.31% Total : 12.37%