Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Talleres win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
