River Plate
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caseres (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
53.58%	23.28%	23.15%

Both teams to score 55.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.83%

45.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48%

67.52%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2%

16.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.23%

46.78%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43%

33.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79%

70.22%

Score Analysis

River Plate 53.58%

Velez Sarsfield 23.15%

Draw 23.28%

River Plate	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.58%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.15%