River Plate
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

(Atletico Mineiro win 4-0 on aggregate)

Diaz (77'), Perez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandez (58')
Fernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest River Plate win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
32.06%	23.56%	44.38%

Both teams to score 61.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.07%

39.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.71%

62.29%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21%

58.79%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68%

18.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59%

49.41%

Score Analysis

River Plate 32.06%

Atletico Mineiro 44.38%

Draw 23.55%

River Plate	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
2-1 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.06%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 3.63% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.63% Total : 44.38%