Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
