Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Platense had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
