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Wednesday, December 25
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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 29, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
3 - 0
Colon

Sonora (32', 41'), Roa (49')
Blanco (35'), Palacios (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Castro (30'), Piovi (80'), Garces (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Colon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawColon
47.96%27.61%24.43%
Both teams to score 43.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.34%60.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26%80.73%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74%60.25%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43%77.56%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 47.96%
    Colon 24.43%
    Draw 27.59%
IndependienteDrawColon
1-0 @ 14.28%
2-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 24.43%

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