Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.