Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
